Different prediction markets have slightly different rulings on ZachXBT's announcement of insider trading companies, which may also lead to varying boundaries of controversy.
Polymarket's ruling emphasizes a direct mention and clear connection to insider trading. ① The company is directly named by ZachXBT ② It is related to insider trading ③ If multiple companies are named by ZachXBT, the one with the clearest insider trading allegations is selected. Predict Fun's ruling focuses on the Primary Business Targeted, that is, whether the company is the main subject of ZachXBT's investigation; distinguishing primary and secondary targets, which seems to allow more subjective judgment. In summary, Polymarket emphasizes "Who is most explicitly accused of insider trading?", while Predict Fun is more like "Who is the main target of the investigation?" An example scenario: Company A is an exchange, and an employee at A has long been abusing internal data and leaking sensitive information to Market Maker B; B profits from these internal insights through trading, while the employee at A receives kickbacks or shares. In this scenario, ZachXBT directly names Company A and clearly links it to insider trading, but the narrative focus of the report is on B's profit chain. Polymarket and Predict Fun might diverge and make different rulings.
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Different prediction markets have slightly different rulings on ZachXBT's announcement of insider trading companies, which may also lead to varying boundaries of controversy.
Polymarket's ruling emphasizes a direct mention and clear connection to insider trading.
① The company is directly named by ZachXBT
② It is related to insider trading
③ If multiple companies are named by ZachXBT, the one with the clearest insider trading allegations is selected.
Predict Fun's ruling focuses on the Primary Business Targeted, that is, whether the company is the main subject of ZachXBT's investigation; distinguishing primary and secondary targets, which seems to allow more subjective judgment.
In summary, Polymarket emphasizes "Who is most explicitly accused of insider trading?", while Predict Fun is more like "Who is the main target of the investigation?"
An example scenario: Company A is an exchange, and an employee at A has long been abusing internal data and leaking sensitive information to Market Maker B; B profits from these internal insights through trading, while the employee at A receives kickbacks or shares. In this scenario, ZachXBT directly names Company A and clearly links it to insider trading, but the narrative focus of the report is on B's profit chain. Polymarket and Predict Fun might diverge and make different rulings.