【$ETH Signal】1H Momentum Breakout, Pullback to EMA20 for Long Entry and Rebound Play

The 1H timeframe experienced intense volatility and saw a volume surge between 15:00-16:00, with the price strongly breaking above EMA20 (1954.6) and piercing 1970. Currently, the price is consolidating around 1965, with the 1H RSI (55.58) in a healthy bullish zone. Although the 4H chart is still under pressure from EMA50 (1985.9), the 1H momentum has already initiated, indicating a short-term rebound opportunity. Market depth shows a large sell order at 1965.21, forming immediate resistance, but buy support below is also dense. Market logic suggests that price increases should be judged in conjunction with open interest, which is currently stable, leaning toward bullish accumulation.

🎯Direction: Long $ETH Long(

🎯Entry/Order: 1962 - 1965 )Reason: Retracement to the 1H EMA20 support zone, also near the previous hourly candle open price (

🛑Stop Loss: 1945 )Reason: Breaking below the 1H low of 1937.6 and the strong support zone formed by ATR (36.98) lower band (

🚀Target 1: 1980 )Reason: Recent 4H high resistance, also near the intraday high of 1980.27 (

🚀Target 2: 1995 )Reason: 4H EMA50 resistance level and psychological barrier (

🛡Trade Management:

- Position Size: Light )Reason: 4H trend not fully confirmed, currently a 1H momentum play, risk control is essential (

- Execution Strategy: After reaching Target 1 (1980), reduce position by 50% to lock in profits, and move the remaining stop loss to the entry price of 1965 (break-even). If the price cannot hold above 1965 and falls back, exit automatically at break-even.

Deep Logic: The 1H candle at 15:00 volume surged over 770,000 coins, indicating a clear capital-driven signal. The price then stayed above the volume candle’s body, showing strong consolidation. Although the 4H trend remains bearish (price below EMA50), the 1H momentum divergence (new lows followed by quick rebound) offers a short-term opportunity. Negative funding rate (-0.0028%) suggests bearish sentiment, and if the price continues to hold, a short squeeze could occur. The order book imbalance (-46.04%) indicates selling pressure, but once the price breaks through the thin wall at 1965.21, upside space will open.

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