$TON Signal】1H Breakout and Pullback Confirmation, Short-term Rebound Sniping



$TON The 1H timeframe completed a pullback confirmation near 1.361 and broke through the short-term resistance at 1.377 with increased volume, indicating a shift to bullish momentum. The 4H timeframe remains in a wide range of 1.35-1.40, but the breakout on the 1H provides a clear trading opportunity for intraday trading. The current price is closely above the 1H EMA20 (1.3718), with a bullish structure.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 1.375 - 1.378 (Reason: Minor pullback after breaking 1.377 confirms the area, also the upper edge of the 1H candlestick body)

🛑Stop Loss: 1.365 (Reason: Break below 1H EMA20 and the previous 1H low at 1.3611, indicating a structural breakdown)

🚀Target 1: 1.390 (Reason: Recent upper boundary of the 4H consolidation zone and EMA20 resistance)

🚀Target 2: 1.400 (Reason: Psychological level and key resistance at the previous 4H high)

🛡️Trade Management:

- Position Size: Light (Reason: The 4H trend is still consolidating, not a one-sided market, risk control is essential)

- Execution Strategy: After reaching 1.390, reduce position by 50% to lock in profits, and move the remaining stop loss up to the entry price of 1.378 (break-even). If the price cannot hold above 1.378 and falls back, exit all positions.

Deep Logic: Despite the price decline, open interest remains stable with no signs of panic selling, suggesting that selling pressure may come from short-term profit-taking rather than main force liquidation. The 1H RSI (51.04) has risen above the 50 midpoint, indicating buying momentum is recovering. Order book data shows relatively concentrated sell orders above 1.3775; once broken, upward space will open. The negative funding rate (-0.0159%) reduces holding costs for longs, favoring a continued rebound.

View real-time market 👇 $TON

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