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【$ETH Signal】1H timeframe stabilizing rebound, watch for key resistance breakout
$ETH The 1H timeframe is oscillating within the 1940-1950 range, with prices closely testing the 1H EMA20 (1946.87) repeatedly. The 4H timeframe remains in a downtrend, but the latest 4H candlestick shows a lower shadow, indicating buying support in the 1900-1910 area. Currently, prices are declining but open interest remains stable, suggesting not a main force distribution but rather a liquidation after a bullish blow-up. The 1H RSI (48.08) is in a neutral to slightly weak zone, leaving room for a rebound correction.
🎯Direction: Long (Long)
🎯Entry/Order: 1945.00 - 1948.00 (Reason: 1H EMA20 dynamic support zone, price repeatedly tests but does not break below )
🛑Stop loss: 1932.00 (Reason: Break below the 1H consolidation lower boundary and previous low at 1933.68, ATR-based stop loss )
🚀Target 1: 1965.00 (Reason: 1H previous high resistance and initial pressure level at 4H EMA20 )
🚀Target 2: 1985.00 (Reason: Previous high on 4H timeframe and Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level )
🛡Trade management:
- Position size suggestion: Light (Reason: 4H trend has not clearly reversed, representing a left-side game of small countertrend against the larger trend )
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, move stop loss up to entry price 1948. For remaining positions, look toward Target 2. If the price faces resistance near 1965 and a bearish divergence appears on 1H, consider taking profit early.
Deep logic: Order book data shows a large sell order at (1946.68) with 122.51 ETH, forming short-term resistance. However, buy orders below are layered deeply, indicating funds are defending around 1946. Funding rate is negative (-0.0046%), combined with stabilization of price, suggesting a short squeeze rebound possibility. If the 1H can hold above 1950 within the next two candles, it will confirm a short-term bottom, attracting more bullish funds.
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