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#我在Gate广场过新年
Is BTC still digital gold?
• Resistance (Shorting Zone)
◦ First: 69,500–70,000 (Strong Resistance)
◦ Second: 72,000 (Fibonacci + Moving Average Confluence)
• Support (Longing Zone)
◦ First: 66,500–67,000 (Short-term Defense)
◦ Second: 66,000 (Strong Support)
◦ Mid-term: 60,000, 58,000 (200-week Moving Average)
🧾 Key Influencing Factors
• Macro: Liquidity remains tight, rate cut expectations fluctuate, institutional selling pressure persists
• Capital: ETF net outflows have ended, 24h net inflow of approximately $180 million, marginal improvement
• On-chain: Whales accumulate on dips, selling pressure eases, but additional capital is insufficient
• Technical: RSI oversold (≈31), rebound demand exists, but no reversal signal
🎯 Trading Strategy (Light Positions + Risk Management)
• Shorting: Enter on rebound near 69,500–70,000 with resistance, stop-loss above 70,500, target 67,000→66,000
• Going Long: Enter on dip and stabilize at 66,500–67,000, stop-loss below 66,000, target 69,000
• Risk Control: Strict position management, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling, wait for clear breakout/breakdown signals