BTC liquidation map exposed: Bullish pressure is twice that of bears, a breakthrough above $94,660 is needed to be truly safe

Bitcoin’s current price hovers around $90,759, but it is stepping into an asymmetric risk zone. According to the latest data, if BTC falls below $86,378, the cumulative long liquidation strength on major exchanges will reach $1.457 billion; conversely, breaking above $94,660 will see short liquidation strength at only $654 million. This 2.23-fold imbalance indicates that bulls are under far greater liquidation pressure than bears.

The True Meaning of Long-Short Liquidation Imbalance

The current price is between two liquidation lines

Based on the latest data, BTC is approximately $4,381 away from the long liquidation line ($86,378), which is about 4.82% of the current price. Meanwhile, it is roughly $3,901 from the short liquidation line ($94,660), about 4.29% of the current price. This means:

• Bulls need a 4.82% decline to trigger large-scale liquidation
• Bears need a 4.29% increase to face liquidation pressure
• The price range between the two liquidation lines is relatively narrow, with high volatility

Warning on the comparison of liquidation strength

What does a long liquidation strength of $1.457 billion mean? It indicates a large accumulation of long positions at the $86,378 level, which, once triggered, could generate a liquidity wave and accelerate the decline. The $654 million short liquidation strength suggests that short positions are relatively dispersed, with less immediate liquidation pressure.

Market Context: From Crash to Recovery

The timing of this liquidation map is very sensitive. According to market data, BTC experienced a “Black Tuesday” crash on January 21, dropping to $87,794, with a single-day decline of over 5%. During that event, over $1.8 billion was liquidated across the entire network, with 93% of it being long positions.

Currently, BTC is recovering from that crash, with a 24-hour increase of 1.33%. However, this recovery is unstable:

• The past 7 days saw a decline of 4.55%
• The past 30 days saw a gain of 3.87%
• Market sentiment is still in recovery

This suggests that although bulls are rebounding, risks have not been fully digested, and new long positions may still be accumulating.

Why Is Long Liquidation Pressure So High?

Recent on-chain data shows that market enthusiasm for longs is significantly higher than for shorts. This is reflected in several aspects:

• Long liquidation strength is 2.23 times that of shorts, indicating market participants are more bullish
• In the past 24 hours, $879 million was liquidated, with $772 million (87.8%) from longs
• A total of 169,049 traders were liquidated, most of whom were long positions

This asymmetric position structure means that the market’s “fragility” is greater among longs. Once the price breaks below key support levels, a chain reaction can easily occur.

The Practical Meaning of Key Price Levels

From a short-term trend perspective, two key levels warrant attention:

Support at $86,378: This is not only the long liquidation line but also near the important price level during the January 21 crash. If broken, it could trigger $1.457 billion in liquidation strength, potentially leading to a rapid price decline.

Resistance at $94,660: This is the short liquidation line. Breaking above this level would face a $654 million liquidation pressure on shorts, which is relatively smaller. Surpassing this level would give bulls a real breathing space.

Personal Viewpoint

From the liquidation map, the current market is in a relatively fragile equilibrium. Bulls dominate but face enormous liquidation pressure; bears face less pressure but lack the momentum to break through. This asymmetric structure often means that prices can be pushed to extremes by small catalysts.

In the short term, BTC is more likely to test the long liquidation line downward, while breaking above the short liquidation line requires stronger fundamental support.

Summary

Currently, BTC is in a high-risk, high-opportunity position. The long liquidation strength of $1.457 billion is more than twice the $654 million of shorts, indicating a greater downside risk. The price is only $4,381 above the long liquidation line; any negative news could trigger a chain of liquidations.

For traders, this is not a time to “go long and be done,” but rather to assess risks more cautiously. The true safety zone is above $94,660; only by breaking this level can bulls relieve liquidation pressure. In the short term, key points are whether the price can hold above $86,378 and whether it can break through the resistance near $91,000.