#美联储主席人选预测 According to the latest information, as of January 23, 2026, the forecast for the Federal Reserve Chair candidate is as follows:
Top Candidates and Probabilities
Kevin Warsh is currently the leading candidate in the prediction market, with a win rate of approximately 58%-62%. He previously served as a Federal Reserve Board member (2006-2011), performed notably during the financial crisis, has close ties to the Trump camp, and has pledged to cooperate with rate cuts, making him more likely to gain Senate approval.
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at BlackR