Dear friends, the November core PCE was just released—month-over-month 0.2%, year-over-year 2.8%, as expected. But such a key indicator was delayed due to the government shutdown, resulting in using outdated data to position the real-time market. Quite ironic.
The real issue here is: inflation stickiness still exists, but all data after December is blank. Federal Reserve policymakers are working with "yesterday's" information—the labor market remains hot, consumer resilience is strong, and the pause on rate cuts in January is almost locked in. But how long can this "patience" sustain through multiple decision cycles? No one knows.
What’s more painful is that the government shutdown has muddled the entire economic outlook. GDP has been revised up to 4.4%, income and spending are both rising, but the true inflation signals are obscured by the haze. This means that at next week's Fed meeting on the 27th, there could be a decision-making dilemma in an information vacuum—whether to proceed steadily or suddenly change course.
What do you think? Will the Fed stay put this time, or will there be some unexpected move? Leave a comment and discuss.
💭 The market is waiting, data is confused, and the decision window is about to open.
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Frontrunner
· 8h ago
The government shutdown delay data is truly outrageous, and the Federal Reserve is now like a blind man feeling an elephant.
To put it simply, they still dare not act, and the rate cut in January has already been decided.
View OriginalReply0
DeFiChef
· 8h ago
Expired map navigation, that's a perfect metaphor... But I actually think the Federal Reserve's move is more likely to be pretending not to see and continuing to hold steady.
View OriginalReply0
UnluckyMiner
· 8h ago
Expired map positioning real-time quotes, this analogy is brilliant haha
If the Federal Reserve really turns hawkish, I’ll go all in
The government shutdown makes data look like a mystery, how can we trade?
The meeting on the 27th feels like a gamble, betting on good or bad outcomes
With such strong consumer resilience, why cut interest rates? The Fed is playing this game steadily
Inflation stubbornly refuses to die down, shorts are about to cry
Just want to know if they still have any trump cards up their sleeves
The market right now is truly Schrödinger’s bull—less information makes it more terrifying
View OriginalReply0
OldLeekConfession
· 8h ago
Government shutdown is really funny; economic data has become a blind box. This time, the Federal Reserve probably has to feel its way like a blind man.
#数字资产市场动态 $SENT $COTI $PEPE 🔥 PCE Data "The Delayed Truth" — Will the Federal Reserve Move or Not Next Week?
$WLFI $DASH $AXS
Dear friends, the November core PCE was just released—month-over-month 0.2%, year-over-year 2.8%, as expected. But such a key indicator was delayed due to the government shutdown, resulting in using outdated data to position the real-time market. Quite ironic.
The real issue here is: inflation stickiness still exists, but all data after December is blank. Federal Reserve policymakers are working with "yesterday's" information—the labor market remains hot, consumer resilience is strong, and the pause on rate cuts in January is almost locked in. But how long can this "patience" sustain through multiple decision cycles? No one knows.
What’s more painful is that the government shutdown has muddled the entire economic outlook. GDP has been revised up to 4.4%, income and spending are both rising, but the true inflation signals are obscured by the haze. This means that at next week's Fed meeting on the 27th, there could be a decision-making dilemma in an information vacuum—whether to proceed steadily or suddenly change course.
What do you think? Will the Fed stay put this time, or will there be some unexpected move? Leave a comment and discuss.
💭 The market is waiting, data is confused, and the decision window is about to open.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for market information interpretation only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; invest cautiously.