Bitcoin may hit bottom in October of the next year if historical cycles repeat

Research shows that the main asset of the cryptocurrency market exhibits a stable cyclical pattern. According to analysts' observations, bitcoin's dynamics follow a fairly predictable scheme that encompasses two key periods.

**How the bitcoin cycle works**

Based on historical data, two main stages of price movement are identified:

- The average duration of movement from a local minimum to a maximum is approximately 1064 days
- The return from the peak to the next bottom takes about 364 days

This regularity has been observed over several market cycles, providing grounds to consider this pattern as a reliable guide for forecasting.

**Forecast based on the 364-day cycle**

If the current correction phase aligns with the historical model, then the 364-day downward window is expected to conclude with the formation of a local bottom around October 2026. Calculations suggest that the price point of the bottom could stabilize around $37,500 per bitcoin.

It is noted that similar cyclical patterns have remained relevant throughout previous market cycles, supporting the hypothesis that this scenario could repeat in the current period.