Regarding the project's expectations for Alpha, it should be judged based on the market cap stage.
Early projects with a market cap still below 5M are usually good signals when they get listed on Alpha. At this stage, the small size and exposure to traffic can itself drive the price.
Conversely, projects with a market cap already exceeding 5M should be cautious. Reaching Alpha at this stage may not be a good sign. Think about it, if the market cap is already so high and they haven't reached Alpha, it actually indicates potential for growth. Once they do, large investors' cash-out reactions are often much faster than retail investors. They've been waiting for this window — the time of highest public exposure is actually when they most want to sell.
So don't be fooled by the listing news. Only by looking at the market cap size can you determine whether this is truly a good opportunity or a trap.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
Whale_Whisperer
· 10h ago
Oh wow, another eye-opening good idea. Big players are really just waiting for that moment.
View OriginalReply0
SighingCashier
· 15h ago
Oh, I see now. Alpha on small caps is really good news.
View OriginalReply0
HodlOrRegret
· 15h ago
Damn, this analysis is spot on. I was wondering why big projects drop after launch, and it turns out major investors are waiting for this moment to sell. Learned something new.
View OriginalReply0
SerumDegen
· 15h ago
nah this is the exact moment whales been salivating for... classic alpha leak cascade incoming
Reply0
CommunitySlacker
· 15h ago
I agree with this logic; the 5M dividing line is indeed excellent.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeVictim
· 15h ago
Below 5M, I've definitely seen pumps to push the price up, but I don't think the 5M+ strategies are necessarily unreliable... Large investors cashing out quickly doesn't mean they'll crash the market.
Your analysis logic is indeed interesting; it just feels like something's missing. Market sentiment is also very important, right?
That's why working in this field is exhausting; you have to judge everything yourself.
Regarding the project's expectations for Alpha, it should be judged based on the market cap stage.
Early projects with a market cap still below 5M are usually good signals when they get listed on Alpha. At this stage, the small size and exposure to traffic can itself drive the price.
Conversely, projects with a market cap already exceeding 5M should be cautious. Reaching Alpha at this stage may not be a good sign. Think about it, if the market cap is already so high and they haven't reached Alpha, it actually indicates potential for growth. Once they do, large investors' cash-out reactions are often much faster than retail investors. They've been waiting for this window — the time of highest public exposure is actually when they most want to sell.
So don't be fooled by the listing news. Only by looking at the market cap size can you determine whether this is truly a good opportunity or a trap.