#比特币价格预测市场 Analyzing Hayes' predictions, he finds several key points to keep an eye on. First, he insisted that Bitcoin hit $250,000 by the end of the year, a 170% increase that would be time-critical and difficult. Second, Hayes believes that $80,600 was the bottom last week, and the current rebound of about 12% is in line with expectations. Furthermore, he pointed out that the US liquidity tightening cycle is coming to an end, and the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates and stopping QT is increasing, which could be an important catalyst.

Judging from the on-chain data, the activity of large-value addresses has indeed increased recently, but there has been no obvious net inflow trend of funds. In the contract market, the October leveraged liquidation seems to have released some of the risk. However, to achieve such a sharp rise, more substantial benefits and sustained financial promotion are needed.

Overall, Hayes' prediction, while optimistic, is not impossible. It is advisable to pay close attention to institutional funding movements and regulatory policy changes, which could be key to influencing short-term price movements. At the same time, we should also be wary of the risks that may arise from excessive optimism in the market.