#数字货币市场洞察 At exactly 3 a.m. on Thursday, the Federal Reserve is about to make a big move. On December 11, Beijing time, there will be an interest rate decision and a Powell press conference—this is the most intense financial event of the week.

What data is the market showing now? The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is stuck at 86%. But that probability itself isn’t the main focus—the real thing to watch is what Powell says.

Here’s the key: The general consensus on Wall Street is that the Fed will inject liquidity at least two more times by 2026. In other words, this rate cut cycle is far from over; there’s more to come. From a crypto market perspective, as long as rate cut expectations remain, there’s still motivation for capital to flow into risk assets. Whether the rally can continue depends largely on how long this logic holds up.

So if tomorrow’s early morning statement hints at a dovish stance between the lines, that would be a major boost for the bulls.