#FedRateCutPrediction

The final FOMC meeting of 2025 is just around the corner, with the rate decision dropping at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) this Thursday.
📉 Market expectations: An 84% probability of a 25BP rate cut—a strong signal that the Fed may finally shift toward easing.
🔍 If the Rate Cut Happens — Will the Market Rebound?
In my view, a 25BP cut is mostly priced in, but the market reaction will depend heavily on forward guidance.
Dovish tone → Strong rebound across risk assets (BTC, high-beta alts, NASDAQ).
Neutral/Hawkish tone → Short-lived bounce + possible pullback, especially if the Fed signals “1-and-done” cuts.
📈 My Trading Strategy Ahead of the Decision
1️⃣ Pre-FOMC Positioning (Before Thursday)
Staying light and flexible — volatility likely to increase 12–24 hours before the meeting.
Accumulating small positions in BTC dips near support zones.
2️⃣ Post-FOMC Strategy
If dovish:
✔️ Long BTC toward breakout levels
✔️ Rotate into strong L1s & AI-sector tokens
If neutral/hawkish:
✔️ Hedge with short scalps
✔️ Wait for liquidity sweep before re-entering longs
💬 What’s Your Prediction?
Will the Fed deliver the expected rate cut and spark a December rebound rally?
Share your insights and trading plan to win posting rewards!
Event Period: December 8, 13:00 → December 12, 18:00 (UTC+8)