Currently, with the rapid escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, global financial markets are facing new challenges once again. Iran's strategic move to close the Strait of Hormuz has already had a significant impact on the global oil supply chain. The blockade of this critical route involves about 20% of the world's oil consumption, and its importance is self-evident.



The market reacted swiftly and violently. In the short term, crude oil prices surged significantly, reflecting investors' concerns about potential supply disruptions. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin showed a downward trend, demonstrating a notable shift in investors' risk appetite during times of geopolitical turmoil.

The impact of such sudden events is difficult to predict accurately, but historical experience may provide us with some insights. Looking back at the market performance during the Iraq War in 2003, the Dow Jones Index experienced a decline before the outbreak of the war, but rebounded after the actual military action began. This phenomenon seems to confirm a viewpoint: the United States often manages to maintain or even enhance its economic strength during wartime, in stark contrast to other countries that generally suffer economic losses during wars.

Despite the fact that short-term market fluctuations are difficult to avoid, many analysts remain optimistic about certain asset classes in the long run. They believe that the current geopolitical conflicts may only be temporary market disruptions, rather than fundamental changes in economic structure.

In this complex international situation, investors need to remain calm, focus on long-term trends, while closely monitoring developments and adjusting investment strategies in a timely manner. Policymakers, on the other hand, need to carefully weigh various options to ensure the stability and sustainable development of the global economy.
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