#鲍威尔发言 The Federal Reserve (FED) meeting is generally considered neutral to dovish:


Powell doesn't say much, but the core message remains unchanged: whether to cut interest rates depends on the data.
The dot plot continues to anticipate two rate cuts in 2025, which is a bit better than the previous market concerns of being "potentially more hawkish," directly driving up the probability of a rate cut in September.
He also mentioned several key points:
Geopolitical conflicts and tariffs will bring inflationary pressure, but the Federal Reserve (FED) judges: this is a short-term disturbance.
The impact of oil prices is limited and will not shake the pace of policy.
The U.S. economic fundamentals are stable, and the job market has not encountered problems yet, so there is no compelling reason for a rate cut.
Please also provide some feedback on Bitcoin:
The turnover rate has risen slightly, primarily due to short-term funds responding to geopolitical uncertainty.
However, the chip zone around $93,000-98,000 remains stable, with no obvious panic.
The chips are gradually accumulating at the upper range of 100,500-105,000, and the short-term pressure at this position is increasing. Be cautious of the correction risk brought by the concentrated chips.
The market focus may shift from the Federal Reserve back to the evolution of geopolitical situations. Interest rate guidance is a stabilizing factor, but what affects price fluctuations are still funds and sentiment.
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