The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in May is 86.1%

[The probability that The Federal Reserve will maintain the Intrerest Rate unchanged in May is 86.1%] According to CME’s “Fed Watch”: The probability that The Federal Reserve will maintain the Intrerest Rate unchanged in May is 86.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 13.9%. The probability that The Federal Reserve will maintain the Intrerest Rate unchanged until June is 39.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 52.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 7.5%. ( Jin10 )