【$TON Signal】1H Level Rebound Confirmation, Trap Shorting Market

$TON The 1H level formed a double bottom at 1.3073, has consecutively closed bullish and is above the 1H-EMA20 (1.3280). The bid-ask depth ratio (bid_ask_ratio_depth=1.21) shows strong support below. Although the 4H level is in a downtrend channel, the current candlestick is testing the resistance below the 4H-EMA20 (1.3533). The 1H momentum has already turned strong, indicating a short-term rebound space. Negative funding rate (-0.0068%) and stable open interest (OI) suggest that the price decline has not triggered a mass exit, providing a basis for shorting.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 1.3280 - 1.3300 (Reason: Steady above 1H-EMA20, break through the 1H opening price of 1.3290)

🛑Stop Loss: 1.3220 (Reason: Break below the 1H double bottom neckline and previous low of 1.322)

🚀Target 1: 1.3420 (Reason: Resistance at the 4H previous high and EMA20 pressure)

🚀Target 2: 1.3530 (Reason: Resistance at the 4H-EMA20 moving average)

🛡️Trade Management:

- Position suggestion: Light position (Reason: 4H trend not fully reversed, a counter-trend rebound game)

- Execution strategy: After the price reaches Target 1 at 1.3420, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss up to entry price 1.3280. The remaining position aims for Target 2; if the price retraces into the entry zone and breaks below, exit all.

Depth logic: The 1H RSI (48.94) has rebounded from oversold territory, with upward space. The order book depth imbalance is 9.31%, with relatively thin sell orders in the 1.3290-1.3300 area, making a breakout easier. The key is whether volume can stabilize above 1.3300, which will trigger short stop-losses and attract long chasing funds. Stable OI indicates the decline is not driven by main force selling off but by long liquidation, with rebound momentum building.

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