Multiple outcomes are not for showmanship.


It's to acknowledge one fact: reality is inherently messy.
Judgments in reality are rarely "Yes / No."
More often, they are about: to what extent, within what range, and which path is triggered first.

If forced into Yes / No,
the market can only use extreme expressions for complex judgments,
and the result is—
either no confidence to bet, or forced concentration of positions.
Liquidity naturally fragments.
@intodotspace Choosing multiple outcomes is essentially making a structural compromise.
It's not about letting users "play with more options,"
but about spreading out the divergence originally squeezed into a single button for pricing.

Different levels of judgment are broken into different outcomes;
expectations of different paths no longer compete with each other.
You're not betting on the conclusion,
but expressing your understanding of the process.

Then, price changes become more continuous.
Liquidity distribution resembles a curve more than two pools.
For prediction markets, this is an important signal.
The market begins to shift from "judging right or wrong,"
to "judging structure."

If the world is inherently multi-ending,
then why can the market only give two answers?
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