Trump's mouth is even more volatile than $RAVE's candlestick.

Yesterday, he was banging the table, saying the delegation would arrive in Pakistan tomorrow night, and if Iran didn't accept the agreement, it would be "no more courtesy," bombing power plants and bridges—those days of being easy to talk to are over. Today, he changed tone—Vance isn't going. The reason? "Security concerns."
$RAVE ‌
Vance himself is probably the last to know. The esteemed Vice President of the United States, unable to negotiate "for security reasons," so who goes? Special envoys Witkov and Kushner. To translate: tough nuts are handed to the little brother to chew, if talks collapse, just say the Vice President didn't go, so it’s not an official stance; if they succeed, all the credit goes to Trump. This plan is so obvious, even the other side of the Strait of Hormuz can hear it.

Iran still controls the strait, oil tankers drift in the Persian Gulf, oil prices jump on the screen. Trump's tweets change daily—morning he wants to bomb you, evening he wants to talk, the next day he says the Vice President isn't going, and someone else will continue negotiations. Traders watch his avatar more nervously than they watch the Fed's rate hikes.

The most incredible part is that phrase "security concerns." How unsafe is Islamabad really, that it makes the Vice President afraid to go, but the special envoy can go? This excuse is as sincere as telling a dog trader "we are not manipulating prices."

The night is still long, the strait is still closed. Trump’s next tweet is unknown when it will be posted. Vance is probably sitting at home, looking at his phone, thinking: should I participate or not?
$RAVE ‌#美伊局势和谈与增兵博弈