#美联储重启降息步伐 It was clear as soon as the US stock market opened last night—$BTC this wave is showing the same problem of following the drops but not the rises. Whenever the US market corrects, it plunges straight down. It dropped directly from 915 to 880, and from a macro perspective, it’s still oscillating in a wide range.



Key timing to watch: next Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. In times like this, there’s a high probability of a big drop. Liquidity dries up over the weekend, so it’ll basically just consolidate sideways, with minor oscillations between 880 and 900. There’s not much of a window left for the bulls—if they can’t push higher and secure a position on Monday or Tuesday, Wednesday’s policy announcement will only trigger a harsher drop.

From a technical perspective, it’s a converging triangle, a classic pre-breakout pattern. These next two days over the weekend are likely to see minor fluctuations within the 880–900 range, though some major altcoins might see unusual moves. $ETH $BNB also needs to be watched closely.
BTC1.33%
ETH2.15%
BNB1.06%
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CryptoNomicsvip
· 14h ago
honestly the whole "correlation with fed policy = inevitable dump" thesis is statistically questionable at best. your R-squared on that relationship is probably 0.4 max, yet you're trading it like it's deterministic lol
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EntryPositionAnalystvip
· 12-06 09:02
915 dropped to 880, this pattern really never changes, doesn’t go up but always follows the drops. Are we waiting for a big move on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting? --- Looks like we’re going to grind sideways until Wednesday again. This window for the bulls is really annoying, feels like we’re always getting killed by time. --- This converging triangle move feels like we’re just waiting for a violent breakout. Are altcoins really about to move? --- Don’t expect any peace before next Wednesday, the 880-900 range will probably just keep getting chopped up. --- When will BTC ever fix this flaw? It’s steady as a rock going up, but drops faster than anything else. --- Liquidity dries up on weekends, might as well go to sleep instead of watching the charts—nothing’s going to move anyway. --- Better keep a close eye on the major coins, don’t just watch BTC. ETH and BNB might have something going on. --- If the bulls don’t push higher on Monday or Tuesday, is that just admitting defeat? Feels like Wednesday is destined for a heavy dump. --- Another policy meeting cycle; this thing really does have a pattern of big drops.
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DefiOldTrickstervip
· 12-06 09:02
915 dropped to 880, here we go again? I saw moves ten times more brutal than this in 2017. People are still obsessing over a few percentage points up or down—honestly, the newcomers have no clue what a real bear market is. That cut on Wednesday is inevitable, the real question is whether to catch the falling knife during the Monday-Tuesday window—that’s where the arbitrage opportunity is. As for altcoins, I’ve been watching ETH’s liquidity for a while now. The yield is right there. It’s not about betting on direction, it’s about betting on portfolio returns, got it?
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unrekt.ethvip
· 12-06 09:02
Here we go again? Every time the US stock market twitches, BTC starts trembling—it's getting dumber and dumber, haha. Get ready for a hit next Wednesday; this time it feels like it's going to crash through 880. I'm betting five bucks that it'll just hover sideways between 880-900 until Wednesday. So annoying. No matter how I look at this converging triangle, I just don't see it breaking out. The bulls are really trapped. Alts are showing some movement, but I don’t dare touch them right now. I’ll wait until Wednesday to see what happens.
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ZKProofEnthusiastvip
· 12-06 09:02
This drop is really ridiculous. As soon as the US stock market moves, BTC crashes along with it. It's like they just don't want the bulls to have it easy. Looks like we'll see more blood on Wednesday. Right now, it's all about betting whether Monday or Tuesday can pull things back up. BTC has been grinding in the 880-900 range for so long, it feels like a breakout is inevitable sooner or later—just worried it might break downwards. There might be some opportunities for altcoins in the next couple of days, but with everything getting slammed along with BTC, I'm too scared to act for now—better to wait and see.
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LuckyHashValuevip
· 12-06 09:01
Dropping again? This constant back-and-forth is exhausting, BTC is acting all wishy-washy. --- Once that key 880 level breaks, it's definitely going to dump again next Wednesday. The Fed really knows how to play the game. --- I just want to ask, can this wave really bounce back or is it heading straight for 650? --- When liquidity dries up, it's time to play with altcoins. Feels like ETH is brewing something these past couple of days. --- Is it a converging triangle or a convergence trap? Either way, the bulls don't stand a chance. --- If it doesn't break 900 on Monday, there's no point looking further. Might as well just lay flat. --- Whenever US stocks shake, BTC follows along. This kind of dependency seriously needs to be fixed. --- 880 to 900, just grinding back and forth—so boring. Might as well wait for the policies to land and settle things once and for all.
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JustHodlItvip
· 12-06 08:49
915 dropped to 880? This move is too brutal. BTC is once again following the old script of dropping with the market but not rising with it—really frustrating. The key is the rate decision on Wednesday. These past two days of sideways trading are just building up for a big move. Grinding back and forth in the 880-900 range—if you can’t hold on, you’ll have to exit. I’ve seen this converging triangle pattern too many times, and it always ends with a one-sided breakout. The problem is, who knows if it’ll go up or down. The altcoins are getting restless—gotta watch out for ETH and BNB, don’t just focus on Bitcoin.
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