When SP500 makes ATH in August, September, and October, Q4 always closes in positive.
The pattern is clear.

Symmetry of BTC by previous dominant impulses:
Set the next target between: 139,000 $ and 147,000 $.

Bitcoin always reaches a cycle high before 550 days post-halving.
Will this time be different?

Mayer Multiple showing clear entry into the expansive phase.
Next target: intermediate band.
If we reach there, we would confirm new all-time highs for Bitcoin.

October with new ATHs of the SP500 = explosive Q4.
The pattern is clear: when October breaks highs, Q4 follows upward.

For me, the cuts in rates in October are CONFIRMED.
Probability: 97.8%
The option to see more cuts in December is also triggered.

Now it's your turn, Bears.
Short Liquidations in 1h 👇

The settlements have become unbalanced again:
Bitcoin: If it falls to 106K, 8.3B$ will be liquidated. If it rises to 120K, 3.4B$ will be liquidated.
Ethereum: If it drops to 3.7K, 6.2B$ will be liquidated. If it rises to 4.6K, 2.4B$ will be liquidated.

Bitcoin needs to exceed and stay above 115,000$ - 114,450$.
For me, the critical level remains that range.
Very important to overcome it to confirm that we have hit the bottom.

Ethereum $ETH
Will we see new highs before the end of the year?

This level is KEY for Bitcoin: 113.962$.
If we were to bounce from here, we would need to surpass $113,962 to say that the structure has changed and no longer consider any corrections.
At the lower end: $104,000 worst case scenario.

How far can Bitcoin fall? 👇
Right now we are in an important weekly support zone, it will be difficult to break.
In case of a break, the Fibonacci levels mark two important areas:
- First barrier: 104.153$
- Second barrier: 101,705$
In the most extreme scenario, we could see 98,914$, but it is very unlikely for now.
Bitcoin remains above the August lows (107K) and the support, which is a good sign.