Will Bitcoin Drop Again?

Bitcoin price trend

2025 is full of variables for the cryptocurrency market, and the question that investors are still concerned about is: Will Bitcoin fall again? The recent market is influenced by various factors, including the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut expectations, changes in the macroeconomic environment, and recent statements by U.S. President Trump, indicating that Bitcoin and Ethereum may become reserve assets, all of which will further affect market sentiment.

Key Factors Affecting Bitcoin Price

Fed’s interest rate cut policy and market liquidity

Over the past year, the Federal Reserve of the United States has continuously raised interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a tightening of financial market funds. In 2025, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates to stimulate economic growth. Interest rate cuts typically lead to the flow of funds from traditional financial markets to risk assets, such as stocks and cryptocurrencies. When the Federal Reserve relaxes monetary policy, the purchasing power of the US dollar decreases, and investors often turn to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. Therefore, the interest rate cut may be a positive factor for Bitcoin in the short term, but the market still needs to observe the actual magnitude and timing of the interest rate cut.

Bitcoin ETF and the impact on institutional investors

In 2024, the Bitcoin spot ETF was approved, attracting a lot of institutional funds into the market. However, the behavior of ETF investors is different from traditional cryptocurrency holders. They may quickly adjust their positions due to market changes. If institutional investors lack confidence in the future of the crypto market, they may reduce their allocation to Bitcoin, leading to a price drop.

Bitcoin and Ethereum could become the core reserves

On March 3, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump made a statement, pointing out that Bitcoin and Ethereum could potentially become part of the U.S. financial system, even as one of the reserve assets. This news has sparked widespread discussion in the market. If the U.S. government formally recognizes Bitcoin as a reserve asset in the future, it will greatly enhance Bitcoin’s long-term value. However, there is still uncertainty in the short term in the market, and the implementation of the policy remains to be seen.

(Source: @realDonaldTrump）

The future trend of Bitcoin

Short-term fluctuations are still intense

Currently, the Bitcoin market is affected by multiple factors, and may continue to fluctuate in the short term. If it can continue to stay above $90,000, it may usher in the next wave of uptrend.

The long-term trend is still upward

Although there may be corrections in the short term, many analysts still see long-term value in Bitcoin. The main reasons include:

• Global fiat currency depreciation trend: central banks around the world continue to print money, making the value of Bitcoin as a scarce asset more prominent.
• Institutional investors continue to enter the market: Asset management companies such as BlackRock have started to get involved in Bitcoin investments.
• The Bitcoin halving effect in 2024 continues to ferment: With reduced supply, it may drive prices further up by the end of 2025.

Price prediction for Bitcoin

Through AI model data calculation, referring to past Bitcoin prices and related information, making predictions about future prices, for data sharing purposes only and not investment advice. Please refer to the following chart:

Bitcoin price prediction trend

Bitcoin price prediction and confidence interval

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Summary

The Bitcoin market is still full of uncertainty, and it may fall in the short term due to market correction. However, from a long-term perspective, with the participation of institutional investors, potential policy benefits, and liquidity improvement brought about by interest rate cuts, the value of Bitcoin is still recognized by the market. In 2025, the Bitcoin market is still worth paying attention to, but investors should remain patient, pay attention to major market changes, and adopt appropriate risk management strategies to cope with possible price fluctuations.