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As the global trade tension escalates in April 2025, the <a href="/ja/price" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">cryptocurrency market</a> is generally under pressure, and popular meme coins represented by <a href="/ja/price/shiba-inu-shib" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Shiba Inu</a> (SHIB) also experience intense fluctuations. According to Gate.io market data, SHIB is currently priced at $0.00001272, with a 24-hour increase of 2.83% and a circulating market value of $7.5 billion, ranking 16th in the cryptocurrency market. Despite a drop of over 85% from its historical high of $0.000088 in 2021 and a monthly decline of 27%, the market's discussion of its future remains intense. This article analyzes whether SHIB has reached a turning point from the perspectives of price performance, macro impact, and ecological progress.

## Current market: rebound signal in the low-level shock

As of late April 2025, [SHIB price](/price/shiba-inu-shib) Hovering around $0.000012, a drop of over 40% from the beginning of the year's $0.00002165. However, the recent 2.83% increase in the past 24 hours and signs of stability on the weekly chart imply that selling pressure in the market is gradually weakening. From a technical perspective, SHIB has formed short-term support in the $0.000011-$0.000013 range, and if it breaks through the resistance at $0.000014, it may open up room for a rebound. In addition, its circulating market value still ranks in the top 20, indicating that community consensus has not yet collapsed. For short-term traders, the trading opportunities in the current price range are worth paying attention to, but they need to be cautious of the risk of a second dip triggered by macro policies.

## Macroeconomic Impact: Short-Term Pain Under Trade Friction

In April 2025, the United States' imposition of retaliatory tariffs on multiple countries directly triggered a sell-off of risk assets, with SHIB experiencing a monthly decline of 27% as a reflection of this background. Historical data shows that meme coins, due to their high volatility and strong community attributes, are often more sensitive to changes in the macro environment. The trade friction this time has led to a tightening of market liquidity, with investors' risk aversion heating up, making high-risk assets like SHIB the first to bear the brunt. However, analysts generally believe that such impacts are mostly short-term, and once policies clarify or geopolitical risks ease, oversold meme coins may rebound first.

## Ecological Progress: The Underlying Support of Long-term Value

Despite the price pressure, the construction of the Shiba Inu ecosystem is still progressing. By 2025, its Layer2 network Shibarium will undergo a major upgrade, increasing transaction processing efficiency by 40% and attracting over 200 DApps to settle in; the cross-chain functionality of the decentralized exchange ShibaSwap V3 will be further expanded to support asset swaps with public chains such as <a href="/ja/price/solana-sol" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Solana</a> and <a href="/ja/price/avalanche-avax" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Avalanche</a>. In addition, the team's proposed 'SHIB Burn Acceleration Plan' has passed a community vote, with an expected annual destruction of 0.5%-1% of the circulation through ecosystem income. These developments lay the foundation for SHIB to move away from being purely a meme token and transition to a utility token. Long-term holders should pay particular attention to the actual user growth data of the ecosystem applications.

## Market Sentiment: Reverse Layout Logic in Panic

The current market sentiment of SHIB is polarized: on the one hand, the number of holding addresses increased by 8% in April, indicating that some investors are accumulating at the low level; on the other hand, the liquidation volume of long positions of futures contracts has surged, reflecting the lack of confidence of leveraged traders. This contradiction may precisely breed opportunities.

From a historical perspective, when the <a href="/ja/price/shiba-inu-shib" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">SHIB price</a> retraces more than 80% from its previous high and the fundamentals do not deteriorate, the average return over the following 12 months reaches 150% (based on data from 2022-2023). For investors who believe in the power of the community, the current price may present a low-cost entry point, but they need to be prepared for long-term holding.

## Investment Strategy: Balancing Three Paths of Participation

In the face of the complex situation of SHIB, investors can choose strategies based on risk preferences: Short-term investors: can closely monitor the breakthrough signal at $0.000014 and set a stop-loss range of 5%-8% to capture rebounds; Regular investment followers: it is recommended to use the 'pyramid averaging method' to establish positions in three batches in the range of $0.00001-$0.000013, averaging the cost; Long-term investors: focus on milestones in ecosystem development (such as SHIB burn exceeding 1 trillion, Shibarium on-chain active addresses exceeding one million), and maintain a wait-and-see attitude before fundamental changes. Regardless of the strategy, it is necessary to avoid a single position exceeding 10% of the total assets to cope with the unique and drastic volatility risks of meme coins.

## SHIB future outlook

The current price dilemma of SHIB reflects both the suppression of the macro environment and the natural weakness of meme coins relying on market sentiment. However, its efforts in ecological transformation and the still large community base leave the possibility of price recovery. For investors, buying SHIB near $0.000012 is essentially a bet on whether 'community consensus can be transformed into actual value.' In the cryptocurrency game, high volatility often coexists with high potential - the key lies in whether there is a matching understanding and discipline for risks.

<div class="blog-details-info">
<div>Author: **Icing**, Gate.io Researcher
<div class="info-tips">\*This article represents only the views of the researcher and does not constitute any investment suggestions. Investment involves risks and users need to make careful decisions.
<div>\*Gate.io reserves all rights to this article. Reposting of the article will be permitted provided Gate.io is referenced. In all cases, legal action will be taken due to copyright infringement.
</div>

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SHIB Price: 5 Key Dimensions to Analyze the Current Investment Opportunity